Articles — page 115
PMFI pARBITRAGE Vault Captures 3.31 Percent Edge on Polymarket and Kalshi AI Outcome Pricing Gap2026-07-30 · PMFI launched a pARBITRAGE vault buying Polymarket NO at 37.9 cents and Kalshi YES at 58.8 cents on …Prediction Markets’ Trillion-Dollar Play: Parametric Insurance Over Gambling2026-07-30 · An X post by @Autonomous_Chad argues prediction markets target the $8T insurance market via parametr…Predictefy Puts Kalshi at Nearly $9 Billion Weekly Notional Versus Polymarket’s $3.5 Billion2026-07-30 · Predictefy data shows Kalshi at nearly $9B weekly notional versus Polymarket’s $3.5B. This cements K…Kalshi Pro Launch Disrupts Dedicated Terminal Development Across Prediction Markets2026-07-30 · Kalshi shipped Kalshi Pro, disrupting at least 5 startups building Bloomberg Terminals for predictio…Why Kalshi’s Midterm Election Markets Show 83% Times 44% Equals 44%2026-07-30 · Kalshi priced Democrats at 83% for the House and 44% for the Senate on July 24 yet set the joint out…Polymarket’s Concealed Origins: New Probe Links TokenBnk, Netanyahu Family Crypto Venture, and Thiel-Backed DARPA Reviva…2026-07-30 · Whitney Webb and Mark Goodwin’s investigation reveals Polymarket’s 2020 founding story by Shayne Cop…Polymarket Volume Doubling Kalshi Adjusts True Odds to 25.5 on This Contract2026-07-30 · Polymarket doubles Kalshi in volume on this contract so true odds adjust closer to 25.5 versus separ…Structural Liquidity Gap Between Kalshi and Polymarket Exposes Arbitrage Potential in Prediction Markets2026-07-30 · Prediction markets show a structural liquidity gap with Mexico at 5.1% on Kalshi versus 3.5% on Poly…North Carolina Sets 6 Percent Tax on Prediction Markets and Raises Sports Betting Levy to 23 Percent2026-07-30 · North Carolina introduced a 6% tax on prediction markets and raised sports betting tax from 18% to 2…H2 Gambling Capital COO Warns Tax Policy Will Eclipse Technology as the Central Force in iGaming for 20262026-07-30 · H2 Gambling Capital’s COO states tax, not tech, is the bigger story for iGaming in 2026 and warns li…CFTC Calls for Public Comments on Proposed Rulemaking for Event Contracts Involving Enumerated Activities2026-07-30 · The CFTC is seeking public comments on a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking for event contracts involving…44 States Assert CFTC Lacks Authority Over Sports Prediction Markets in Coordinated Regulatory Pushback2026-07-30 · 44 states submitted a letter during the CFTC public comment period stating the agency has no authori…ProphetX and Players’ Lounge Launch CFTC-Regulated Sports Prediction Markets2026-07-30 · ProphetX and Players’ Lounge launched CFTC-regulated sports prediction markets on July 27, 2026, tar…Indiana Sweepstakes Casino Ban Activation on July 1 Reveals Platform Compliance Gaps and Urgent Geo-Blocking Imperative2026-07-30 · Indiana’s sweepstakes casino ban takes effect July 1, yet most major platforms continued serving cus…Louisiana Advances HB 883 and HB 53: Tightening Sweepstakes Rules as a Structural Shift in State Enforcement Powers2026-07-30 · Louisiana advanced HB 883 and HB 53 on or before April 17, 2026 to tighten sweepstakes casino rules …Alberta’s July 13 Competitive iGaming Framework: A Structural Shift in Regulated Canadian Markets2026-07-30 · Alberta launches its competitive iGaming framework on July 13 with 15-25 operators ready on day one.…Alberta Government Delivers Live Announcement on Regulation of Online Gaming Market2026-07-30 · Alberta government held a live announcement on July 13, 2026 regarding regulation of the online gami…From Criminal Act to White House Backdrop: President Trump’s UFC Octagon and Stake Advertising Signal a Structural Shift…2026-07-30 · A Washington Post report contrasts sports betting’s criminal status less than a decade ago in all bu…CFTC Notice of Proposed Rulemaking Targets Prediction Markets With New Data Reporting Rules for Event Contracts2026-07-30 · On July 3, 2026 the CFTC published its NPRM under RIN 3038–AF73 covering prediction markets and data…Ohio GOP Lawmakers Propose ‘Save Ohio Sports Act’ (HB 971) to Significantly Roll Back Sports Betting2026-07-30 · Ohio GOP lawmakers proposed HB 971, the ‘Save Ohio Sports Act,’ on July 6, 2026, to ban online/mobil…CFTC Advances Data Reporting Rules for Event Contracts Under RIN 3038–AF732026-07-30 · The CFTC published data reporting requirements for certain event contracts under 17 CFR Parts 15, 16…Lok Sabha Passes Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Bill 2025: Platform Impacts, Penalty Structure, and Strategic…2026-07-30 · Lok Sabha passed the Promotion and Regulation of Online Gaming Bill, 2025, directly affecting Dream1…Germany’s Quiet Increase in Online Slots Stake Limit from €1 to €5: A Potential Inflection Point in Regulated Markets2026-07-30 · Germany raised its online slots stake limit from €1 to €5 in a quiet move reported July 10, 2026 by …Indiana’s Enactment of HB 1052: Governor Mike Braun’s Ban on Online Sweepstakes Casinos and Its Place in a Fragmented Re…2026-07-30 · Governor Mike Braun signed HB 1052 banning online sweepstakes casinos in Indiana, aligning with simi…