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SCCG Take — Higher European taxes and specialised licensing raise compliance costs; operators should model fiscal impacts and monitor Brazil's congressional timeline before committing capital.
Recent weeks brought a cluster of gambling policy developments across several jurisdictions, from new licensing categories to proposed tax increases and voter referendums.
The Nevis Online Gaming Authority launched the Nevis Prediction Market License on 30 October 2026 as a category distinct from its B2C and B2B online gaming licences. NOGA announced the framework on 2 November, with forms and conditions released that day. The licence applies to operators and technology providers covering sports, political, electoral, weather, and cryptocurrency events. It adds obligations on market integrity and participant funds. Nuri Katz, NOGA chief executive, said the aim is "to provide greater clarity for businesses entering this sector." Yogonet reported that licensees may not serve local residents.
Italy's Council of Ministers approved the 2027 budget bill on 28 October 2026. The proposals, not yet law, would raise the PREU tax on AWP slot machines from 24% to 25% of turnover and on VLTs from 8.6% to 9.6%, effective 1 January 2027 if enacted. Maximum stake per slot game would double from €1 to €2. Concessions expiring 31 December 2026 would extend to end-2029 against annual fees, including €14,250 per betting right. Technical reports project the gambling measures at about €952 million in 2027 and €2.6 billion over 2027-2029, according to iGaming Business and Agimeg. Land-based groups criticised the tax rises and extension fees.
In the United States, voters in Allen, DeKalb, and Steuben counties in Indiana rejected Public Question 3 on inland casino gambling on 3 November. DeKalb recorded 7,374 against to 4,043 for. Brazil's Supreme Federal Court held a 10-hour public hearing the same day on the fixed-odds betting ban imposed by Provisional Measure 1,394/2026, with about 33 speakers. Government ministers defended the prohibition on grounds of debt, disorder, and crime links. The National Association of Games and Lotteries opposed it, citing migration to illegal sites.
Reporting by Casino News Daily, iGaming Business, and Yogonet captures the range of these measures but underemphasizes how higher land-based taxes in Italy could accelerate operator shifts toward online channels already facing their own compliance costs.
The pattern of distinct regulatory tools, from Nevis' event-specific licensing to Italy's fiscal extensions and Brazil's ongoing constitutional debate, requires operators to maintain jurisdiction-by-jurisdiction tracking. Legislative deadlines in Italy by 31 December and in Brazil from 9 November will determine which changes take hold first.
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