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JP Morgan Assesses Faster UAE Market Normalization for Wynn Resorts’ $5.7 Billion Al Marjan Project

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JP Morgan Assesses Faster UAE Market Normalization for Wynn Resorts’ $5.7 Billion Al Marjan Project
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JP Morgan states UAE conditions for Wynn’s Al Marjan Island are more stable than press reports suggest, with lodging metrics improved to -25% YoY from -50%. Wynn targets September 2027 opening for the $5.7B project and holds steady on Macau’s $950M Enclave tower forecast to add $150-175M EBITDA.

SCCG Take — Wynn’s adherence to its UAE timeline and Macau projections highlights how regional recovery and potential exclusivity gains can offset volatility for operators with diversified pipelines.

JP Morgan analysts have concluded that market conditions in the United Arab Emirates are more stable than recent press coverage suggests. The memo follows discussions with Wynn Resorts leadership at the Global Gaming Expo and affirms the operator’s development timeline and performance assumptions for its casino project in Ras Al Khaimah.

Wynn Resorts maintains a 40 percent equity stake in the venture alongside local partners. The company continues to target a September 2027 opening for the $5.7 billion Wynn Al Marjan Island resort.

Improved Metrics Signal Recovery

Conditions in the region are a lot more back to normal than would be indicated in the press. Lodging demand and revenue per available room in the UAE are pacing -25 percent year-on-year in September versus -50 percent earlier in the year. The assessment references a lull in military conflict involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran that has affected the area at the end of February.

Wynn Resorts suggested the regional tensions could delay competing projects and thereby extend its period of effective exclusivity in the UAE casino market. Ras Al Khaimah welcomed more than 670,000 visitors in the first half of this year, a 2.4 percent increase from over 654,000 in the first half of 2025.

Macau Expansion Outlook Holds

The JP Morgan memo also reviewed Wynn Resorts’ position in Macau, where the operator secured government approval for land-use changes to support The Enclave at Wynn Palace. The $950 million second hotel tower is expected to generate roughly $400 million of gross gaming revenue and deliver $150 million to $175 million of incremental EBITDA.

Wynn Palace currently runs at approximately 99 percent occupancy. Wynn Macau is not insulated from the industry-wide gaming revenue slowdown, although management highlighted no meaningful change in promotional activity or the competitive environment. As reported by GGRAsia, these updates indicate both markets remain on track for the operator despite external pressures.

Reporting: GGRAsia

Generated by SCCG’s automated editorial system from published source reporting. SCCG Management holds editorial responsibility.

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