
Genius Sports CEO Mark Locke affirmed to investors that regulatory shifts in prediction markets will not halt company revenue, citing persistent demand for sports wagering and official data. The firm supplies both prediction platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket and competing sportsbooks. Locke pointed to taxation already underway in North Carolina and Illinois plus CFTC rulemaking as evidence of an inevitable regulated path.
SCCG Take — Official data providers gain structural advantage by serving all sides of evolving prediction markets, underscoring the need for operators to secure verified feeds early in regulatory transitions.
Mark Locke, CEO of Genius Sports, has told investors the company will receive payment regardless of regulatory changes to prediction markets. In an announcement covered by SBC News, Locke said underlying demand for sports wagering ensures continued business for the NYSE-listed sportstech provider. The London-headquartered firm has already secured deals to supply official sports data, marketing, media and integrity services to prediction market platforms Kalshi and Polymarket.
Locke expressed optimism that the sector’s expansion remains “all very net positive for us.” He noted that Genius Sports supplies rivals who compete for the same customers, citing DraftKings and FanDuel as examples. Increases in wagering volumes support the demand for Genius products, irrespective of the form that wagering takes. Locke added that settlement standards now being developed by regulators will raise the value of official data.
Locke anticipates that “the prediction markets of today are very unlikely to look like the prediction markets of tomorrow.” Rules on access, tax and product will shift, with some current advantages moving alongside them. Liquidity will be captured, taxed and regulated under federal, state or combined regimes. North Carolina already taxes exchanges’ net trading-fee revenue. Illinois has added a transaction levy. The CFTC is writing its framework. The process will take years.
Genius is well positioned to be paid at every point along it. The company supplies exchanges, the market makers behind them and the sportsbooks competing with them for the same customer. At the endpoint it will supply whoever the rules leave in charge, and at every stage in between it will supply both sides. The route decides who pays us. The demand decides that we are paid.
Locke drew a clear line between confidence in the underlying appetite for sports wagering and confidence in any particular platform’s current business model. “We believe the demand created by the rise of prediction markets is here to stay, but not necessarily today’s structure,” he said. Demand can endure while access narrows, activity falls or customers move between products.
These remarks arrive after Genius Sports‘ share price fell almost 70% since its 2021 IPO. The decline followed the company’s $1.2bn acquisition of Legend in February. Locke, co-founder of the business now 25 years old, maintained that “Americans are going to keep wagering on sports, and Genius will be paid however they do it.”
Reporting: SBC News
Generated by SCCG’s automated editorial system from published source reporting. SCCG Management holds editorial responsibility.
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