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Ninth Circuit Upholds Nevada Ban on Kalshi Sports Contracts as Tribes Back Supreme Court Challenge

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Ninth Circuit Upholds Nevada Ban on Kalshi Sports Contracts as Tribes Back Supreme Court Challenge
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TL;DR — The Ninth Circuit unanimously disagreed with Kalshi’s overly broad reading of the Commodity Exchange Act. The court determined Judge Andrew Gordon did not abuse his discretion allowing the NGCB to ban the unlicensed prediction market from offering sports event contracts in Nevada. Gaming tribes are signing an amicus brief in support of New Jersey’s Supreme Court case against CFTC regulation.

SCCG Take — The ruling strengthens state and tribal authority, escalating the CFTC versus gaming regulator dispute to the Supreme Court and raising compliance hurdles for prediction platforms.

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit unanimously rejected Kalshi’s broad reading of the Commodity Exchange Act on sports event contracts. The court held that U.S. District Judge Andrew Gordon did not abuse his discretion by allowing the Nevada Gaming Control Board to ban the unlicensed operator from offering those contracts in the state.

Mike Dreitzer, chairman of the NGCB, said the agency’s opposition has been consistent. “It’s about telling the truth and protecting consumers,” Dreitzer said. He detailed a regulatory system that addresses licensing, suitability, responsible gaming, anti-money laundering, taxation, integrity, and underage gambling for those under 21. Dreitzer added that the CFTC is not a national gambling regulator. He voiced deep concern for 18-, 19-, and 20-year-olds, noting losses could come from tuition, rent, and necessities. “We should be especially careful when gambling is presented as investing, because it is not investing,” he said. Dreitzer called the ruling an important milestone but said the fight continues, as reported by CDC Gaming.

Tribal Support for New Jersey Supreme Court Case

Gaming tribes are signing an amicus brief to support New Jersey’s effort to overturn an appeals court decision that Kalshi’s sports event contracts fall under CFTC regulation, said Rebecca George, executive director of the Washington Indian Gaming Association. George has tracked prediction market issues since January 2025. She said gambling is the biggest revenue source for tribes and that prediction market gains come “off the backs of tribes.” “We haven’t had this kind of attack on states and tribes ever. It will land in the Supreme Court,” George said. She pointed to the Cabazon decision in 1987 and the Indian Gaming Regulatory Act of 1988. “Gambling is a states’ rights issue,” George said. Quantifying exact revenue losses remains difficult, she added, but the pool of gambling dollars is finite.

Separately, Kalshi fined and suspended three candidates who bought contracts tied to their own races. Stephen Cloobeck paid a $31,770 penalty after purchasing approximately $10,000 in contracts and received a three-year suspension. In North Carolina, Laurie Buckhout faced a $2,589.96 fine for fewer than $1,000 in contracts and a three-year suspension. “I bet on myself. Literally. It was a dumb mistake,” Buckhout said. In Maine, Ben Midgley received a $5,430.30 penalty and three-year suspension. He described the platform as “a novelty and entertainment source.”

The Jurisdictional Fight Ahead

The Ninth Circuit decision and tribal mobilization underscore that prediction markets cannot sidestep state gaming laws through federal commodity labeling. With the matter now poised for Supreme Court review, regulators and operators face prolonged uncertainty over whether CFTC oversight can displace established state and tribal frameworks.

Reporting: CDC Gaming

Generated by SCCG’s automated editorial system from published source reporting. SCCG Management holds editorial responsibility.

Steve’s read · SCCG Intelligence

State and tribal gaming authority just got a federal stamp—prediction platforms now face Supreme Court showdown over who regulates sports contracts.

We have watched prediction markets try to thread the needle between CFTC commodity rules and state gaming law for years. This ruling draws the battle line clearly: Nevada and the tribes say gambling is gambling, no matter what you call it. The Supreme Court challenge will determine whether state licensing frameworks—the ones our 545 partners navigate every day—hold or crumble under federal commodity oversight.

SCCG angle: SCCG has advised operators and platforms in every regulated U.S. market on licensing strategy and compliance architecture. As this Supreme Court fight unfolds, we help clients model scenarios—state-by-state licensing paths versus federal commodity frameworks—and connect them to tribal, state, and compliance partners who understand what the ruling could mean for market access and revenue assumptions.

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