Blask Data Shows Bettors Ahead by 56.91 Index Points Across FIFA World Cup 2026

Bettors finished ahead of bookmakers across the aggregate 104 matches of the FIFA World Cup 2026. Blask recorded a total index of -56.91 for the tournament staged in North America from June 11 to July 19.

One phase drove more than half the swing toward bettors. Matchday 3 of the group stage, held between June 24 and 27 and comprising 24 matches, scored -29.80 on its own. That figure represented 52.4 percent of the tournament’s entire deficit, according to a briefing shared with GGRAsia.

Group Stage Performance

The Matchday 3 result exceeded the combined totals from Matchday 1 and Matchday 2, which generated -14.29 and -9.89 respectively for a joint 42.5 percent of the overall deficit. The single worst match for bookmakers was New Zealand’s 1-5 loss to Belgium in Group G, at -10.5.

Blask observed that the phase was not uniformly negative for the industry. The best result in that window was the Colombia-Portugal 0-0 draw at +8.2. Every matchday produced at least one strongly bookmaker-favourable result alongside its losses.

Knockout Stage Offset

The 32 knockout games scored -2.92 combined. That represented 5.1 percent of the deficit despite forming the single largest group of matches in the dataset. Bookmakers’ best knockout match was Switzerland’s 2-0 win over Algeria at +4.9. Their worst was Portugal’s 2-1 victory over Croatia at -7.2.

Blask said in its summary: “No single stage was one-sided at the match level. Every round in this dataset had both a strongly bookmaker-favourable result and a strongly bettor-favourable one. Only the balance between them changed.” The near-even knockout score came from enough matches on each side to roughly cancel out.

Reporting: GGRAsia

Generated by SCCG’s automated editorial system from published source reporting. SCCG Management holds editorial responsibility.