SCCG · Prediction Markets

DraftKings Directs Prediction Market Ads at California, Texas, Georgia, and Florida

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DraftKings Directs Prediction Market Ads at California, Texas, Georgia, and Florida

TL;DR — DraftKings launched targeted ads for its Predictions platform in CA, GA, TX, and FL, positioning it as now live with a $5 trade for $200 bonus. Live since December last year, it recorded $11 billion annualized volume in July. DKeX volume remains low at $525,000 daily but prepares for football season with new parlays.

SCCG Take — The effort shows prediction markets filling sportsbook gaps in major states, with volumes signaling scalable demand that operators and regulators must track as football season approaches.

DraftKings has launched a marketing campaign for its prediction market product in the four largest states where its sportsbook is unavailable. The ads target California, Georgia, and Texas, where sportsbooks are not legal, along with Florida, where the Seminole Tribe operates a sports betting monopoly. The advertisements describe the product as now live in each state.

The ads promote a spend $5, get $200 in bonuses offer that mirrors promotions used for the sportsbook. DraftKings Predictions has been live with sports contracts in all four states since December of last year. The platform offers sports event contracts in most states where the sportsbook is unavailable and some non-sports event contracts where the sportsbook operates.

As reported by InGame, the campaign came to light through analysis by Aldrin Research. A post from @AldrinResearch stated: “New @DraftKings state-specific ads went live in the past 24 hours across California, Florida, Georgia and Texas, offering new customers $200 after a $5 first trade. The fine print explicitly mentions “Event Contract Trading is offered by DraftKings Predictions, a CFTC-registered…”

Platform Volume and Routing Details

In July, annualized total volume on DraftKings Predictions across all exchanges was $11 billion. This suggests volume within the month itself was just under $1 billion, or about $30 million per day.

DraftKings Predictions acts as a futures commission merchant that routes customers to Crypto.com for most sports contracts, CME for some non-sports contracts, and its in-house exchange DKeX for others. DKeX, which launched in June, processed only $525,000 in volume on Monday. That total is likely under 5% of DraftKings Predictions’ total volume and less than 0.05% of Kalshi’s volume for the day. The exchange self-certified parlays earlier this month and may route more customers to DKeX once football season begins.

Reporting: InGame

Generated by SCCG’s automated editorial system from published source reporting. SCCG Management holds editorial responsibility.

Steve’s read · SCCG Intelligence

Prediction markets are becoming the workaround for locked-out states, and DraftKings is betting football season will prove the model.

We've watched prediction markets evolve from curiosity to strategic adjacency. DraftKings targeting the four biggest non-sportsbook states with mirrored sportsbook promos tells us operators see real revenue potential where regulated sports betting can't reach. The $11 billion annualized volume proves user appetite exists — now it's about infrastructure, compliance, and timing around football season.

SCCG angle: SCCG has regulatory, compliance, and product partners across CFTC-registered platforms and exchange infrastructure. If you're exploring prediction markets as a sportsbook alternative or building routing and liquidity strategies in unregulated states, we connect you to the operators, tech providers, and legal architects who've actually launched these products at scale.

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