
TL;DR — FanDuel and CME are revising their JV so all sports bets on Predicts route through Nadex; CME keeps non-sports bets under 1% of volume and its 51% stake. The move, disclosed in Flutter’s Q2 earnings with lowered guidance and CEO Jackson’s exit, reflects CME’s sports wager reservations. Prediction volume sits at 0.02% of U.S. regulated total.
SCCG Take — This marks a structural shift separating derivatives infrastructure from sports execution. Operators and investors must weigh partnership agility against regulatory uncertainty in the converging prediction market space.
FanDuel and CME Group are revising their prediction market joint-venture so that all sports-related bets on the FanDuel Predicts app will execute via Crypto.com’s Nadex exchange. To date CME has handled single-leg sports bets while Nadex has managed parlays since June. Going forward CME will process only the non-sports bets that represent less than 1% of the app’s activity. CME retains its 51% equity stake.
The disclosure came inside Flutter Entertainment’s second-quarter earnings report. Flutter parent CEO Peter Jackson will step down after nine years. The company reported U.S. betting handle with little growth, quarterly earnings that trailed consensus, and lowered full-year revenue expectations. Its stock (NYSE: FLUT) closed down more than 11% at $92.91 per share, as first reported by Sportico.
Terry Duffy, CME CEO, told analysts on a first-quarter earnings call: “When we originally negotiated this deal with FanDuel, our goal and objective had nothing to do with sports.” A CME spokesperson wrote that “Given the ongoing uncertainty related to sports event contracts, and as CME Group focuses more on market-based products, our FanDuel Predicts FCM will offer sports contracts, including individual performance and combo products, through Crypto.com.”
Jackson told Barron’s that Flutter “remains committed to CME” but “we know what’s really important for consumers in our sports space is to have an app that’s fast and easy to use.” Flutter acknowledged FanDuel Predicts is behind schedule, stating “operational progress in H1 has been slower than planned, we are gaining traction.” Sportico reported CME’s prediction market betting volume in the first two weeks of July at roughly 0.02% of all volume from U.S. regulated entities.
The change highlights clear differences between the derivatives powerhouse and the gambling operator less than a year after the joint-venture launched. CME is not exiting sports entirely; it is seeking regulatory approval for monthly and quarterly cash-settled futures tied to team performance indexes through a partnership with FutureSports.
With more than 30 years advising operators, investors and regulators at the intersection of gaming and securities, I see this as an inflection point. The rise of federally regulated prediction markets is challenging the balance of power long held by FanDuel and DraftKings in state sportsbooks. Client-partners should track how infrastructure shifts affect execution speed, regulatory exposure and competitive positioning as these markets mature.
Reporting: Sportico
We've watched derivatives firms and sports operators try to blend regulated futures infrastructure with consumer wagering for two years. This revision proves the thesis: CME wants event contracts and indices, FanDuel needs speed and consumer UX. The 0.02% market share shows scale is still miles away.
SCCG angle: SCCG has placed regulatory and product leaders at both derivatives platforms and sports operators across five continents. When our clients evaluate prediction market JVs or licensing plays, we map the jurisdictional friction points and broker the right infrastructure partners — exchange, tech, or compliance — so structural pivots like this don't derail time-to-market.