The Seattle Mariners journey to Comerica Park for a Friday evening showdown against the Detroit Tigers on July 11. This game features a great pitching matchup. Luis Castillo and Tarik Skubal will face off in a battle of Cy Young-caliber pitchers. Before they do battle on the bump, continue reading to get my Mariners vs Tigers prediction from Detroit.
Our Mariners vs Tigers Pick
- Pick: Under 7
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Seattle Mariners @ Detroit Tigers
- Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 2025 – 7:10 PM
- Starting Pitchers: Luis Castillo vs Tarik Skubal
- Stadium: Comerica Park, Detroit
- Broadcast: Apple TV+
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Luis Castillo is just 5-5 on the season. But he is better individually than his win total would show. He has a 3.31 ERA and is capable of shutting down quality offenses. Tarik Skubal is pitching like he deserves a second straight AL Cy Young award. He’s 10-2 with a 2.02 ERA and should probably have more wins than he does given how well he’s pitched.
Recent team streaks
Detroit is 4–1 over its last five games but comes into this game off of a loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Seattle lost three games in a row to the New York Yankees prior to the start of this series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Line |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | Total Bases | Over 2.5 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | Strikeouts | Over 8.5 K |
Mariners vs Tigers Model Projection
Score Projection: Detroit 4 – Seattle 2
Win Probability: Detroit 68%, Seattle 32%
Final Thoughts
Detroit’s Skubal is arguably the best pitcher in the American League right now. His shutdown showing combined with the Tigers’ home-field advantage should help Detroit win this game. But I feel more strongly about the under in this game. With two aces on the hill, I expect a low-scoring night in the Motor City.
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- Source: https://ats.io/mlb/seattle-mariners-vs-detroit-tigers-prediction-7-11-2025/444205/
