
The Philadelphia Phillies will travel to take on the San Francisco Giants on Monday, July 7, at Oracle Park. Both teams are riding two-game winning streaks and have recently benefitted from strong pitching performances. Which team will emerge victorious with superior pitching? Here’s a detailed preview of this matchup, along with my Phillies vs. Giants prediction.
Our Phillies vs. Giants Pick
– Pick: Phillies moneyline
– Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
– Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants
– Date & Time: Monday, July 7, 2025, 9:45 p.m. ET
– Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez (PHI) vs. Landen Roupp (SF)
– Stadium: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
– Broadcast: MLB Network, NBCS-BA, NBCS-PH
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Cristopher Sánchez will start for the Phillies. He has been outstanding this season, with a 2.68 ERA and a 7-2 record. Against the Giants, he gave up two earned runs in seven innings back in April in a 6-4 win for the Phillies. Landen Roupp is 6-5 with a 3.48 ERA this season. He’s allowed two earned runs combined over his last three starts. However, walks can be a problem for Roupp, as he’s given up 38 of them this year.
Bullpen usage
The San Francisco Giants have the best bullpen ERA in baseball this year, while the Phillies are ranked 23rd in bullpen ERA. This places additional pressure on Sánchez to perform, though he’s shown he can thrive under pressure.
Recent team streaks
Philadelphia has won three of their last five games, including two out of three in their last series against the Cincinnati Reds. The Giants also won two out of three in their last series, defeating the Athletics in Sacramento. They have won four of their last five games overall.
Betting Trends & H2H
– Season Series: The season series between these teams is tied 2-2. They split a four-game series in Philadelphia back in April.
– Home/Road Splits: Phillies are 23-21 on the road, the Giants are 25-17 at home.
– Runline Trends: The Phillies are 48-42 (53.3%) on the runline this year, while the Giants are 40-50 (44.4%).
Phillies vs Giants Model Projection
– Score Projection: Phillies 5 – Giants 3
– Win Probability: Phillies 60%, Giants 40%
Final Thoughts
Although I’m concerned about the bullpen matchup for the Phillies, I am still confident they will win this series-opening game. Sánchez has been elite on the mound for Philadelphia this season, and I believe he will outperform Roupp to set the bullpen up for success. Expect the Phillies to secure a close win as they aim to increase their lead over the New York Mets in the NL East standings.
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- Source: SCCGManagement.com