The Connecticut Sun and Seattle Storm are set for their second consecutive matchup on Friday night. Connecticut surprised the Storm in Connecticut on Wednesday and aims for another upset. However, the Storm are eager for redemption in this contest. In this analysis, I delve into this inter-conference WNBA game and offer my Sun vs Storm prediction for Friday night in the Pacific Northwest.
Our Sun vs Storm Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm -16.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Connecticut Sun @ Seattle Storm
- Date & Time: Friday, July 11, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
- Broadcast: ION
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Storm –16.5 | Storm –2100 / Sun +1100 | 158.5 |
Key Storylines
- Connecticut’s momentum: The Sun ended a franchise-worst 10-game losing streak by defeating Seattle 93–83 on Wednesday. Tina Charles led with 29 points in that game.
- Marina Mabrey remains sidelined: Mabrey is still out with a knee injury for the Sun, impacting their offense significantly.
- Connecticut’s rough season: Despite upsetting the Storm on Wednesday, Connecticut has been the worst team in the WNBA, standing at 3-16 and likely to reach 20 losses in this game.
- Missing pieces: Seattle is without Katie Lou Samuelson and Nika Muhl due to season-ending ACL injuries.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- These teams have split their season series 1-1, thanks to the Sun’s win on Wednesday.
- The Sun are 8-11 against the spread this year. The Storm are 11-9 ATS.
- Seattle is 12-8 on over/unders this season. The Sun are 9-9-1 on their totals.
- Connecticut is 1-9 on the road this year. The Storm are 6-3 on their home floor.
Advanced Metrics & Trends
- Offensive Efficiency: The Storm are 6th in the league in offensive rating, while Connecticut ranks last in the 13-team WNBA.
- Defensive Rating: The Storm are 8th in defensive rating, with Connecticut at the bottom of the league.
- Pace: Both teams are in the bottom half of the league in
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