Our series of MLB parlay picks continues with a few games that will help you kickstart the weekend. We have a bunch of thrilling matchups, with the White Sox vs. the Blue Jays being the most high-profile game. Besides that one, the Mets take on the Phillies, while Astros and Angels also going to battle at Angels Stadium.
Let the games begin, but be sure to read our picks before they start.
*Sports betting carries inherent risks, and outcomes can be unpredictable. The recommendations offered here are based on current data and analysis but should not be viewed as guarantees of success.
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees – Yankees on the Run Line
The Baltimore Orioles visit the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium in a key AL East matchup. The Yankees (43-31) are aiming to clinch the division title and get ready for the playoffs. The Orioles (32-42) sit dead last at the American League East, but are hoping to improve.
Starting pitchers are Dean Kremer for Baltimore and Clarke Schmidt for New York. Kremer has a 4.19 ERA and has struggled recently, while Schmidt has been strong since returning from injury, posting a 1.76 ERA in his last three starts. The Yankees boast a powerful lineup with stars like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Juan Soto, which could challenge Kremer. Judge, in particular, has dominated Kremer historically, with a 1.438 OPS against him.
The Yankees enter this game on a bad streak at 4-6 in their last 10 games, while the Orioles have been on the come-up in their last 10, at 6-4. The total runs line is set around 8.5.
Therefore, we think it is still best to bet on the Yankees to win with the run line at -1.5 (+130), capitalizing on their strong offense and recent form. But also consider the over 8.5 runs (-105), given both teams’ offensive capabilities and the potential for a high-scoring game.
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays – Blue Jays on the Run Line
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Chicago White Sox on Friday night at Rogers Centre. Toronto enters the matchup as a strong favorite, listed at -215 on the moneyline, while Chicago sits as a +177 underdog. The Blue Jays are 40-34 this season and have performed well as favorites, winning 16 of 27 games in that role. Chicago, meanwhile, is struggling at 23-52 and have won just 5 of 31 games when listed as an underdog of +177 or longer.
On the mound, Spencer Turnbull (1-0, 2.08 ERA) starts for Toronto, while Davis Martin (2-7, 3.79 ERA) gets the call for Chicago. Turnbull has been effective, and Toronto has a solid record when he starts as the favorite. The total for the game is set at 9 runs, with the under slightly favored at -116.
Take the Blue Jays on the run line (-1.5). Toronto’s strong home record and the White Sox’s struggles as underdogs make this a reasonable pick, especially with Turnbull on the mound. Alternatively, you can go for the under 9 runs. Both teams have shown trends toward lower-scoring games recently, and Turnbull’s pitching could keep the White Sox offense in check.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies – Phillies on the Run Line
The New York Mets travel to Citizens Bank Park to face the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday night. The Phillies come into this matchup as clear favorites, listed at -236 on the moneyline, while the Mets are sizable underdogs at +192. Oddsmakers have set the run line at Phillies -1.5 (-110), and the over/under is 8.5 runs.
Philadelphia has performed well when favored by a wide margin, winning eight of nine games this season when listed at -236 or shorter. Their implied win probability sits at 70.2%. The Mets, meanwhile, have struggled as underdogs, winning just over 40% of those games, and face their toughest odds of the season in this spot.
For bettors, the main tip is to back the Phillies on the run line (-1.5 at -110), given their strong record as heavy favorites and recent success covering the spread. If you’re looking for an alternative, consider the under 8.5 runs (-105). The Phillies have gone under the total in seven of their last ten games, and both teams have shown a tendency to play tighter, lower-scoring contests lately.
Expect key performances from Kyle Schwarber and Pete Alonso, but the Phillies’ consistency as favorites gives them the edge for this matchup.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels – Astros on the Moneyline
The Houston Astros face the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium. The Astros come in with a stronger record (43-32) compared to the Angels (36-38), and recent betting trends show both teams have split their last five games.
Houston’s offense is among the best in baseball, ranking near the top in batting average and slugging percentage, while their pitching staff remains one of the most effective in the league. The Angels have been competitive against the spread but have struggled to keep up with higher-scoring teams at home.
I would say that taking the Astros on the moneyline is a good idea here. Houston’s combination of hitting and pitching gives them a clear edge over the Angels, who have been inconsistent, especially when facing teams with winning records.
You can also consider the under on the total runs if the line is set around 8.5. Recent matchups between these teams have often stayed under this mark, and both teams have shown the ability to limit big innings when their top pitchers are available.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies – Diamondbacks on the Run Line
The Arizona Diamondbacks travel to Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies on Friday night. Arizona sits at .500 for the season, while Colorado has struggled, holding one of the league’s worst records (17-58). Zac Gallen (4-8, 5.19 ERA) gets the start for the Diamondbacks, facing Austin Gomber, who is making his first start of the year for the Rockies.
Arizona’s offense has been productive, averaging over five runs per game, and their lineup features more power and consistency than Colorado’s. The Rockies have had trouble generating runs, averaging just 3.5 per contest, and their pitching staff has one of the highest ERAs in the majors.
Oddsmakers favor Arizona at -189 on the moneyline, with the run line set at -1.5 for the Diamondbacks and a total of 12 runs for the game. Arizona has performed well as a favorite this season, and their offense should have an advantage against a Rockies team that struggles both on the mound and at the plate.
A no-brainer, take the Diamondbacks on the run line (-1.5). Arizona’s stronger lineup and pitching edge make them likely to win by multiple runs against Colorado.
But also look at the under 12 runs. Despite Coors Field being hitter-friendly, both starting pitchers have the potential to keep the scoring in check, and recent matchups suggest the total could stay below this number.
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- Source: https://sportshandle.com/mlb-parlay-picks-for-june-20-yankees-to-cover-the-run-line-astros-moneyline-winners-against-the-angels/
