– **Shai Gilgeous Alexander is the clear favorite for Finals MVP**
– **Indiana’s Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam have the next best odds**
– **Check out the NBA Finals Most Valuable Player odds and our analysis below**
The NBA Finals are set, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the strong favorite to win Finals MVP. He would be the first to win both the league MVP and Finals MVP in the same year since LeBron James with the Miami Heat in 2012 and 2013.
The Thunder are heavily favored to win their first championship, but is SGA the only choice? Let’s examine the odds for all the players and see if there are other candidates worth considering.
**2025 NBA Finals MVP Odds**
Indiana’s Tyrese Haliburton is a distant second-favorite at +700, followed by Pascal Siakam (+1600) and OKC’s Jalen Williams (+3000).
**SGA vs the Field**
The odds are set appropriately. Unless there is a major collapse, SGA’s performance should secure him the Finals MVP. He has led the Thunder in scoring in 14 of 16 playoff games and has topped the 30-point mark seven times in the last nine games.
SGA averages 29.8 points per game in the postseason, the highest among remaining players, with Pascal Siakam and Jalen Williams next at 20.4 points per game. He was the Western Conference Finals MVP, averaging 31.4 points, 8.2 assists, 5.2 rebounds, and 1.8 steals.
If the Thunder win, it’s unlikely that any other OKC player would have a bigger impact throughout the playoffs.
**Legit Challengers**
The best challengers to SGA are Tyrese Haliburton and Siakam, who was the Eastern Conference Finals MVP, averaging 24.8 points on 52.4% shooting. However, Siakam’s performance varied throughout the series.
Haliburton can potentially lead the Pacers to an upset with his all-around game but must maintain consistency. He has had games with low scoring in each series.
**Longshots to Consider**
Chet Holmgren at +7500 could be a sleeper pick, posing a mismatch offensively while defending well. It’s unlikely that a primarily defensive player would win MVP, as seen in 2015 with Andre Iguodala.
If Aaron Nesmith were to effectively shut down SGA and perform exceptionally from three-point range, he could enter the conversation.
Both teams are deep and are led by key players in OKC and Indiana. Other players are important but there’s a hierarchy in place.
Bet wisely.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com
