Joe Pyfer shattered Francis Ngannou’s punch record last year, earning high praise from sportsbooks. While the focus is on his power, there’s potential for an upset. The underdog Kelvin Gastelum, with odds of +310, might surprise everyone at Newark’s Prudential Center. Read on for our Gastelum vs. Pyfer preview.
Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer Odds
| Moneyline | Odds |
|---|---|
| Kelvin Gastelum | +325 |
| Joe Pyfer | -425 |
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When, Where, and How to Watch?
- Place: Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey
- Date: Saturday, June 7, 2025
- Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
- How to Watch: PPV
Why are Bookies Backing Joe Pyfer to Win on June 7?
Joe Pyfer is known for his powerful punches, breaking Ngannou’s PowerKube machine record by over 30% last year. While a machine doesn’t win fights, his Octagon performance supports his reputation.
Marc-André Barriault couldn’t last a full round against him. With nine of Pyfer’s 13 victories coming by KO, along with his submission skills and killer instinct, he poses a significant threat.
However, he faces a tenacious veteran in Gastelum, who has overcome tougher opponents, raising questions about Pyfer being such a heavy favorite for UFC 316.
Reasons Why Gastelum Can Upset the UFC 316 Odds
Kelvin Gastelum, with a record of 19-9-1, is a former Ultimate Fighter winner known for having one of the best chins in UFC history. Despite facing fighters like Adesanya, Whittaker, and Belfort, he’s never been knocked out.
His wrestling skills and BJJ black belt could counteract Pyfer’s power if the fight goes to the ground.
Joe Pyfer criticized Mexico after losing weight and pulling out of a fight with Gastelum. “If that’s what altitude and elevation is, F**CK THAT COUNTRY. I’ll never fight there again. S**thole and I’m not going back.”
— FULL SEND MMA (@full_send_mma) March 30, 2025
Gastelum is highly motivated, aiming for consecutive wins for the first time since 2017-18. He may be further driven after Pyfer withdrew from their March match due to food poisoning, leading to Pyfer’s controversial remarks about Mexican food and culture, which Gastelum likely took to heart.
Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer Prediction
Pyfer’s odds suggest invincibility, but he’s not unbeatable. Though he has KO victories, his weaknesses have been exposed.
Jack Hermansson out-boxed him to a unanimous decision last year, and we believe Gastelum can achieve similar results.
Pick: Kelvin Gastelum
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com
