Aaron Civale Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -154

Strikeouts 4.5 under: 112

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Boston Red Sox (25.1% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 2nd-most strikeout-prone group of batters on the slate.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

The #1 venue in the game for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest predicts the 2nd-lowest temperature on the slate at 59°.

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale will benefit from facing 6 hitters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in this outing.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which often leads to better offense.

Aaron Civale didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous game started and put up 2 Ks.

Given the 0.69 difference between Aaron Civale’s 8.25 K/9 and his 7.56 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see negative regression in the future.

Placing in the 17th percentile, Aaron Civale put up an 8.8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season.

Aaron Civale is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today’s game.