Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 5.5 over: -116
Strikeouts 5.5 under: -116
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Hayden Birdsong in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors.
The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Torkelson, Riley Greene, Jake Rogers).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) grades out as an elite pitch framer.
The weather report forecasts the 8th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Hayden Birdsong’s fastball spin rate has jumped 102 rpm this season (2393 rpm) over where it was last season (2291 rpm).
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hayden Birdsong to throw 83 pitches in this game (4th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.
Hayden Birdsong will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Considering the 0.9 disparity between Hayden Birdsong’s 10.49 K/9 and his 9.59 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress going forward.
Hayden Birdsong is projected to have 5.1 Strikeouts in today’s game.
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- Source: https://ats.io/mlb/props/hayden-birdsong-10016736/391786/
