The following are betting tips for selected games in Round 12 of the 2025 AFL season.
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Draftstars have a $50,000 fantasy sports contest for the Brisbane v Essendon clash on Thursday night. Entry costs $15 and the top 25% of participants will receive a payout.
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Brisbane vs. Essendon |
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On paper, Brisbane should win this comfortably, however they have gone 2-10 at the line at home over the last twelve months. All nine of their home wins over this period were by 1-39 margins. Essendon have been unimpressive in recent weeks, but their 6-2 record over the last eight weeks has to be respected. Brisbane won this fixture by a 20-point margin last season. I would back Brisbane 1-39 at 2.70 (Dabble).
Six of Brisbane’s last seven home games against Essendon went under the total. Four of the Lions’ five home games this season went under the total and their home average total of 152.0 is the lowest in the league. Essendon’s last four games went under the total. I would back Under 184.5 at 1.50 (bet365).
For those who enjoy same-game multis, one option is Brisbane 1-39 and Under 184.5 at 3.80 (Dabble).
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Gold Coast vs. Fremantle |
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The Suns bring 9-2 form into this game and they have gone 6-1 as the home favourite over the last twelve months. Fremantle lost and failed to cover the line in their last three visits to People First Stadium. All seven of the Suns’ home wins over the last twelve months were by 1-39 margins and six were by 1-24 points. The Suns have never previously defeated Fremantle by more than 36 points. Three of their four previous home wins over the Dockers were by 1-24 margins. I would back Gold Coast 1-39 at 2.20 (Dabble). Those looking for more risk should consider Gold Coast 1-24 at 3.30 (Dabble).
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Melbourne vs. St Kilda |
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Melbourne have won five of their last six, while St Kilda have lost six of their last seven. The Demons have won and covered the line in their last five games against the Saints. St Kilda have gone 1-4 as the away underdog over the last twelve months. With the data I have at hand, 20 of the last 22 meetings between these two sides were settled by 1-39 points. I would back Melbourne in the head-to-head at 1.52 (PlayUp). Those looking for more risk should consider Melbourne 1-39 at 2.20 (Dabble).
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: https://www.aussportsbetting.com/2025/05/27/afl-round-12-betting-tips-4/
