Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: -100
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -135
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Citi Field profiles as the #4 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.
Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-driest conditions of the day at 39%.
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.8-mph in this contest, the 4th-best of the day for mound aces.
Considering that flyball pitchers have a sizeable edge over flyball bats, Adrian Houser and his 48.3% underlying FB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in this outing matching up with 3 opposing FB bats.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Adrian Houser in the 4th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.
Adrian Houser will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
In his last game started, Adrian Houser didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Adrian Houser has used his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 61.8% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Adrian Houser has notched an 8.5% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile.
Adrian Houser is projected to have 3.3 Strikeouts in today’s game.
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: https://ats.io/mlb/props/adrian-houser-10005264/391788/
