MLB Home Run Parlay Picks for Monday, May 12
We’re back in action this Monday, May 12, and ready to dive into some MLB home run props to kick off the week. While weather could play a factor in a couple of games, we’re confident we can navigate it and still find value. Below is our high-reward home run parlay for Monday, coming in at +35000 odds.
Let’s set the tone with some context. We haven’t connected on a full three-leg parlay yet, but we’re getting close. The goal for the season remains clear: hit at least two big parlays. With 183 tries during MLB’s regular season, we don’t need perfection—we just need a couple of the right hits to come through. With consistent strategy and smart odds shopping, this grind could really pay off.
Here’s how to play it: Bet each leg individually for ¼ unit and combine them in a ½ unit parlay for a shot at a massive payout.
MLB Home Run Parlay for Monday, May 12
Leg 1: Kerry Carpenter to Hit a Home Run
Let’s begin with Kerry Carpenter. You might hear him called “Barry” on the streets, but it’s definitely Kerry we’re going with today. Carpenter faces Red Sox starter Tanner Houck, a pitcher we usually avoid targeting for home runs. But this season has been different—Houck has already allowed eight homers in 41 innings, six of which were hit by lefties. That puts Carpenter in a great position to launch one into orbit tonight.
Pick: Kerry Carpenter to Hit a Home Run (+550) – BetMGM
Leg 2: Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run
The matchup between the Marlins and Cubs brings some of the worst home run weather on the board, with wind blowing in at Wrigley Field. But Kyle Tucker is the exception to that rule. He hits the ball so hard—consistently over 100 mph exit velocity—that it often doesn’t matter what the conditions look like. Plus, he’s facing Cal Quantrill, a pitcher whose pitch mix plays right into Tucker’s strengths. This is a “trust the talent” play.
Pick: Kyle Tucker to Hit a Home Run (+475) – BetMGM
Leg 3: Jackson Merrill to Hit a Home Run
We’re going off the beaten path for leg three with Jackson Merrill, a lefty going up against another lefty in Yusei Kikuchi. While that might scare off some bettors, Merrill has shown he can handle lefty-lefty matchups better than most. With consistent hard contact and a great price on the board, this is a value play worth backing. Kikuchi allowed five homers to left-handers last year, and if he doesn’t give one up tonight, the Angels bullpen might.
Pick: Jackson Merrill to Hit a Home Run (+700) – ESPN
Current 3-Leg HR Parlay Record: -6.963 Units
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