UFC 315 Fight Night Preview & Final Predictions: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Headlines a Stacked Card in Montreal
UFC 315 lands at the iconic Bell Centre in Montreal this Saturday, May 10th, bringing a thrilling main card packed with title implications, veteran legends, and rising stars.
The night’s featured bout will see welterweight champion Belal Muhammad make his first title defense against red-hot Australian contender Jack Della Maddalena. In the co-main event, Valentina Shevchenko begins her second reign as women’s flyweight champion by facing undefeated French prospect Manon Fiorot.
Also on the card, UFC legends Jose Aldo and Alexa Grasso return in pivotal divisional matchups that could shake up the rankings. Before we break down our top bets and fight picks, let’s look at the latest odds heading into UFC 315.
Latest UFC 315 Betting Odds
There’s been notable line movement as sharp money pours in. Both Muhammad and Shevchenko have seen their odds shorten, reflecting public confidence in the champs. Meanwhile, Jose Aldo has seen his line move from -220 to -185, while his opponent Aiemann Zahabi has improved slightly to +154.
One of the biggest favorites on the card is Benoit Saint-Denis, whose odds have ballooned from -1115 to -1450, implying a dominant 93.15% chance of victory over late-notice replacement Kyle Prepolec.
Top UFC 315 Predictions & Best Bets
With odds locked in and the stage set, here are two of the best value picks for Saturday night’s action.
Best Bet: Belal Muhammad by Decision (-105)
Muhammad brings relentless pressure, excellent cardio, and elite wrestling—traits that are tailor-made for five-round championship fights. Over the years, he’s used his grinding style to neutralize top-tier strikers, including a methodical win over Leon Edwards.
Expect Muhammad to employ a similar blueprint against Della Maddalena: constantly close the distance, avoid trading in the pocket, and wear down the Aussie with takedowns and control. While Della Maddalena packs power and proved his resilience in a dramatic comeback victory over Gilbert Burns, Muhammad’s durability and ability to dictate pace should carry him to a clear-cut decision win.
Value Pick: Jose Aldo to Win by KO/TKO/DQ (+400)
Despite being 38, Jose Aldo has flashed signs of his former championship form. His crisp boxing, ferocious leg kicks, and elite takedown defense still make him a serious threat in striking-based matchups.
Against Zahabi, who prefers a stand-up battle and likely won’t attempt takedowns, Aldo should have the advantage in speed, experience, and fight IQ. With a Montreal crowd cheering on his comeback, this is a prime opportunity for vintage Aldo to show off the skills that made him a legend. At +400, a knockout win is a high-upside play worth targeting.
Additional UFC 315 Picks & Props
– Natalia Silva (-230) to defeat Alexa Grasso — Bet: Fight goes the distance (-210)
Silva’s dynamic striking and speed should allow her to outpoint Grasso across three rounds. Expect a tactical battle, with Silva controlling range and scoring cleanly to earn a decision.
– Benoit Saint-Denis (-1450) over Kyle Prepolec — Bet: Under 1.5 Rounds (-175)
Facing a late-replacement opponent, Saint-Denis is poised to make short work of Prepolec. Whether it’s a brutal KO or slick submission, look for a quick finish from the Frenchman within the first round.
Final Thoughts
UFC 315 offers a compelling mix of championship drama, rising stars, and aging legends looking for one more moment under the lights. Whether you’re backing the champs or hunting for underdog value, there’s no shortage of betting opportunities throughout the main card.
Good luck with your wagers and enjoy the action from Montreal!
- SCCG Management. The Gambling Industry’s Global Connector. Access Here.
- Source: SCCGManagement.com
