Brian Daboll Out, Bill Belichick In? Examining Early Odds for Next New York Giants Head Coach – SCCG Management

Brian Daboll Out, Bill Belichick In? Examining Early Odds for Next New York Giants Head Coach - SCCG Management
Brian Daboll
Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

The New York Giants have parted ways with Brian Daboll, ending his tenure and preparing for a fresh offseason while offensive coordinator and interim coach Mike Kafka wraps up 2025.

The Giants have a decent base with rookie QB Jaxson Dart. Malik Nabers has been sidelined most of the season with a knee injury, but remains the top WR when fit next season. Cam Skattebo showed promise before his setback. However, defense still needs improvement, and owner John Mara hasn’t made a significant coaching hire since Tom Coughlin left. Daboll overachieved in his initial year in New York.

Yet, opting for a defensive leader isn’t the solution. Aaron Glenn’s struggles with Justin Fields leading the Jets prove this. The Giants need an offensive focus, potentially revisiting familiar names as a safeguard.

The prediction market Kalshi lists six potential head coaches with over a 5% chance of securing the New York position, including Mike McCarthy, Klint Kubiak, and Lou Anorumo:

Trade on Kalshi for McCarthy as the next Giants coach. A “yes” at $10 returns $53.

Examining some listed candidates and a wildcard:

Bill Belichick

Despite Belichick’s recent statement affirming his commitment to the North Carolina Tar Heels, there might be mutual interest. Yet, his first season in Chapel Hill suggests the legendary coach may be past his prime. UNC holds a 4-6 (2-4 ACC) record.

Nostalgia shouldn’t be misleading. Though Belichick assisted Bill Parcells in winning two Super Bowls with the Giants, his last years in New England were lackluster. Drafting woes and lacking a top WR—apart from an aging Randy Moss for three years—were apparent. It’s possible, but don’t bet on it.

Mike McCarthy

McCarthy considered New York before joining the Cowboys in 2020, achieving a 49-35 record over four years. At 62, his extensive background as an offensive coordinator and quarterbacks coach could benefit the Giants. Dart and Nabers provide a solid foundation.

If chosen, disregard McCarthy’s single Super Bowl and early exits. His challenging end in Green Bay seems a result of him and Aaron Rodgers growing weary of each other. A publicly-owned team often results in the QB becoming a de facto leader. This was evident with Rodgers and Brett Favre before him.

In Dallas, McCarthy’s three playoff appearances, despite Jerry Jones’ questionable decisions, are commendable. He may not be the top choice for the Giants, but there are worse options.

Klint Kubiak

Kubiak is next to McCarthy at 9% odds on Kalshi. The son of Super Bowl-winning coach Gary Kubi

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