Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern Pick & Prediction – 10/9/2025

Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern Pick & Prediction - 10/9/2025

The Southern Miss Golden Eagles and Georgia Southern Eagles will meet in a clash of Eagles on Thursday night. Southern Miss will look for its second straight win in Sun Belt Conference play here, while Georgia Southern aims to get into the win column in the Sun Belt for the first time this year. Which Eagles will fly highest in this matchup? Find out what I think below as I bring you my Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern prediction.

Our Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern Pick

  • Pick: Georgia Southern +3.5
  • Confidence: 4/5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Georgia Southern Eagles
  • Date & Time: Thursday, October 9, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, GA
  • Broadcast: ESPN2

Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern Odds

Odds Spread Moneyline Total
Southern Miss -3.5 -165 Over 59.5
Georgia Southern +3.5 +140 Under 59.5

Key Storylines

  • Quarterback Play: Southern Miss quarterback Braylon Braxton leads the offense with 1,236 passing yards and 11 touchdowns. Georgia Southern’s JC French IV has thrown for 946 yards and seven touchdowns. Both have looked good at times this season, but Braxton has been the more consistent performer and will be expected to lead his team to a victory here.
  • Rushing Attack: Georgia Southern running back OJ Arnold has rushed for 309 yards and three touchdowns. He is averaging just over six yards per carry, giving the Eagles a strong option on the ground. Southern Miss relies more heavily on its passing game and it will be interesting to see which side wins out in this clash of offensive styles.
  • Defensive Strengths: Southern Miss linebacker C. Jones anchors the defense with 53 tackles on the season. The Golden Eagles defense has been better overall this year, even if you take out the game where Georgia Southern gave up 59 points to the USC Trojans.
  • Sun Belt Implications: Southern Miss is 1-0 in conference play after beating App State in their first league game of the season. Georgia Southern lost to James Madison in their first conference game of the year. Getting to 2-0 in conference play would be huge for the Golden Eagles, but Georgia Southern will be desperate to prevent that from happening.
  • Southern Miss: The Golden Eagles are 3-2 against the spread going into this week’s game.
  • Georgia Southern: Georgia Southern is 2-3 against the spread so far this season.
  • Over/Under Trend: The total has gone over in four of Georgia Southern’s first five games. The total has gone over in three of Southern Miss’ first five outings.
  • Head-to-Head: Southern Miss has won the lone meeting between these teams all-time.

Southern Miss vs Georgia Southern Model Projection

Score Projection: Southern Miss 30 – Georgia Southern 27

Win Probability: Southern Miss 52%, Georgia Southern 48%

Final Thoughts

I think that the margin of victory in this game is going to be razor-thin no matter which team ends up getting the win. If I had to bet this game, I’d take the points with Georgia Southern, as they could very well win outright at home against a Southern Miss team that is winless on the road so far this year.


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